Supermike is our AI superforecaster that predicts the future.
AI superforecasters are frontier models which are modified to forecast the future in a probabilistic manner.
We scaffold and engineer agents to do deep research, and have open-sourced our first version: Supermike.
01 · Ask
Submit any resolvable question about the future. Supermike restates it with precise resolution criteria that you confirm.
02 · Evidence & reasoning
A budget-gated forecast returns a calibrated probability with a confidence band, the evidence used, and the reasoning behind it.
03 · Recorded to the ledger
The forecast is hash-chained into an append-only public record, timestamped at creation. It can never be edited.
We don't grade our own homework. Supermike is scored in the open on Spectre Trading, where its predictions trade head-to-head against frontier models and human traders.
spectretrading.ai →Every forecast is recorded to an append-only, hash-chained ledger — and the engine that produces them is open source. Check either. No other forecaster gives you both.
Every record is content-hashed and chained to the one before it. Recompute the chain yourself with the reference verifier — Python standard library only.
Supermike's code is public under Apache 2.0. Read the engine, reproduce a forecast, or file an issue.
github.com/jzyzak/delphi →Ask anything resolvable. Supermike answers with a calibrated probability — plus the evidence, the reasoning, and a permanent, verifiable trail.